Thursday, June 11, 2026

The inflation rate will tick down in six months.


 The share markets and bond markets, even including commodity markets, continue to price in lower inflation over time.


The current rate of inflation is running over 4% and market participants seem to be pricing in an interest rate hike in a few months. 


Im guessing in six months the inflation prints will be in the 2% range and the market maybe pricing lower interest rates, and probably a weaker USD.


At some time I think there could be a USD crisis but not yet.


The war in Iran maybe winding down and it could be true in Ukraine. 


At least commoditys are trending down today, gold still trading down. Oil maybe getting ready for a fall.


Jobs seem to be harder to get and wages arent really going up. 


It will be interesting to see how AI may unfold in the future.


So far I haven't been able to find a job. It could be my age. 


Jobs in the SW United States arent as abundant as in the Midwest US, and wages much lower.


Thats it for now.


Happy Hunting.

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